Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.396857 2.774462 3.200798 3.719502 4.335806 5.047434 5.935341
2025-02-16 1.835348 2.327475 2.944071 3.780880 4.898459 6.355832 8.426887
2025-02-23 1.545944 2.081552 2.800653 3.851764 5.374314 7.539261 10.922929
2025-03-02 1.318606 1.859810 2.626722 3.815737 5.654690 8.462204 13.214830
2025-03-09 1.175616 1.725845 2.542950 3.877174 6.064964 9.627252 16.118666
2025-03-16 1.041391 1.581396 2.415911 3.840689 6.298997 10.535937 18.784668
2025-03-23 0.936828 1.466370 2.314598 3.822725 6.549575 11.504839 21.774569
2025-03-30 0.840035 1.350298 2.193914 3.748972 6.681564 12.273478 24.550758
2025-04-06 0.780792 1.288394 2.154307 3.809051 7.064897 13.585297 28.780284
2025-04-13 0.707295 1.193172 2.044278 3.721506 7.144299 14.297620 31.866140
2025-04-20 0.675509 1.167302 2.054108 3.861947 7.704166 16.128033 38.091294
2025-04-27 0.626898 1.105451 1.989775 3.845317 7.928755 17.260992 42.904066
2025-05-04 0.588650 1.065514 1.975162 3.957231 8.524371 19.556419 52.102512
2025-05-11 0.545848 1.013459 1.933546 4.014237 9.033007 21.851318 62.521716
2025-05-18 0.510418 0.970795 1.903817 4.090480 9.604412 24.481133 75.245563
2025-05-25 0.469195 0.911144 1.830055 4.051893 9.878277 26.385805 86.556062
2025-06-01 0.441261 0.875436 1.802392 4.117672 10.444044 29.323785 103.218940
2025-06-08 0.408559 0.825696 1.736963 4.078608 10.713326 31.451494 118.025632
2025-06-15 0.380794 0.783472 1.682974 4.059375 11.037306 33.876051 135.631555
2025-06-22 0.352102 0.736046 1.610908 3.980422 11.166322 35.695260 151.771198
2025-06-29 0.334860 0.712593 1.592756 4.044736 11.759641 39.401351 179.766532
2025-07-06 0.310328 0.669754 1.522231 3.951023 11.822371 41.154627 199.008329
2025-07-13 0.300822 0.661165 1.535684 4.101369 12.746067 46.685601 244.215048